Tim Fergestad Ph.D.

Writing

Essays

On seeing clearly, acting deliberately, and living gratefully, applied to investing, science and health, and family.

Start here

Attention. Action. Attitude.

Three questions I keep coming back to for living deliberately: what is true, what is mine to do, and how will I face it. Everything else here applies them somewhere.

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Family and legacy

Two essays, best read in order: why a family’s wealth lasts or does not, then how our family put its values into words and a symbol.

WHY

What Are You Actually Building Wealth For?

Net worth is an output. Whether a family’s wealth lasts is decided by the inputs: how the family communicates, what the next generation can do, and what the money is for.

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HOW

The Eagle Kept Showing Up

Our family motto started as a sentence. Getting it down to three words taught me that a family symbol only works when it belongs to everyone in the family.

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Investing

How I think about a decision, then a deal, then the people running it. Each stands alone.

Every Investment Is a Hypothesis

Five questions I ask before I commit to anything, and the control experiment that took an exciting result away from me.

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Why I Read the Return Last

A projected return is an output, not a fact. The order I evaluate a deal in, and the assumption doing the quiet work underneath the number.

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Was It Skill, or Was It the Decade?

A track record is an outcome. Borrowing the lab’s vehicle control to ask what actually caused it, and the deal that taught me to.

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Build the Control

What disconfirming evidence looks like inside a private investment, and how to write it down before you are emotionally committed.

Coming soon

Science and health

Habits from research, used on everyday decisions and the occasional experiment on myself.

How Science Taught Me to Be Wrong Productively

Research did not train me to be right. It trained me to make being wrong informative, and that turns out to matter far outside a lab.

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The Sugar-Free Chai Experiment

What a glucose monitor taught me about assumptions, and why a label can be true and still not answer your question. A personal experiment, not medical advice.

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